Alternative Simulation Social Security Medicare (net) Medicaid Net Interest All other spending Revenue Total federal spending Unified surplus/deficit Debt held by the public Real GDP Percent of GDP Billions of 2005 dollars 2009 4.8 3.0 1.8 1.3 13.9 14.8 24.7 -9.9 53.0 "12,985" 2010 4.8 2.3 1.9 1.4 12.9 14.5 23.3 -8.8 59.8 "13,203" 2011 4.8 3.2 1.8 1.5 12.9 15.6 24.2 -8.6 66.9 "13,441" 2012 4.8 3.3 1.7 1.8 12.2 16.1 23.8 -7.7 71.7 "13,963" 2013 4.8 3.4 1.7 2.1 11.7 16.5 23.7 -7.2 75.1 "14,642" 2014 4.7 3.5 1.7 2.5 11.5 16.9 23.9 -7.0 78.3 "15,275" 2015 4.8 3.6 1.8 3.0 11.3 16.9 24.4 -7.5 82.4 "15,746" 2016 4.8 3.7 1.8 3.4 11.3 17.1 25.0 -7.8 86.9 "16,157" 2017 4.9 3.8 1.9 3.8 11.2 17.3 25.5 -8.3 91.7 "16,542" 2018 5.0 3.9 1.9 4.2 11.2 17.3 26.1 -8.8 97.0 "16,888" 2019 5.1 4.1 2.0 4.6 11.2 17.4 26.9 -9.5 102.8 "17,262" 2020 5.2 4.3 2.0 5.0 11.2 17.5 27.6 -10.1 109.0 "17,643" 2021 5.4 4.4 2.2 5.3 11.1 17.6 28.3 -10.7 115.5 "18,021" 2022 5.4 4.6 2.2 5.6 11.0 17.8 28.8 -11.0 121.9 "18,444" 2023 5.5 4.8 2.2 5.9 11.0 17.9 29.3 -11.4 128.5 "18,864" 2024 5.5 5.0 2.3 6.2 10.9 18.1 29.9 -11.8 135.4 "19,285" 2025 5.6 5.2 2.3 6.6 10.9 18.1 30.5 -12.4 142.6 "19,707" 2026 5.7 5.4 2.4 6.9 10.9 18.1 31.2 -13.1 150.3 "20,131" 2027 5.7 5.6 2.4 7.3 10.9 18.1 31.8 -13.8 158.4 "20,557" 2028 5.8 5.8 2.5 7.7 10.9 18.1 32.6 -14.5 167.0 "20,986" 2029 5.9 6.0 2.5 8.1 10.9 18.1 33.4 -15.3 176.1 "21,417" 2030 6.0 6.3 2.5 8.6 10.9 18.1 34.2 -16.1 185.7 "21,852" 2031 6.0 6.5 2.6 9.0 10.9 18.1 34.9 -16.9 195.7 "22,291" 2032 6.0 6.7 2.6 9.5 10.9 18.1 35.7 -17.6 206.1 "22,733" 2033 6.0 6.9 2.7 10.0 10.9 18.1 36.4 -18.4 216.9 "23,192" 2034 6.0 7.1 2.7 10.5 10.9 18.1 37.2 -19.1 228.0 "23,660" 2035 6.0 7.2 2.8 11.1 10.9 18.1 37.9 -19.8 239.5 "24,133" 2036 6.0 7.4 2.8 11.6 10.9 18.1 38.7 -20.6 251.3 "24,614" 2037 6.0 7.6 2.8 12.2 10.9 18.1 39.5 -21.4 263.5 "25,101" 2038 6.0 7.8 2.9 12.8 10.9 18.1 40.3 -22.2 276.1 "25,594" 2039 6.0 7.9 2.9 13.4 10.9 18.1 41.1 -23.0 289.1 "26,095" 2040 5.9 8.1 3.0 14.1 10.9 18.1 41.9 -23.8 302.4 "26,603" 2041 5.9 8.2 3.0 14.7 10.9 18.1 42.7 -24.6 316.1 "27,119" 2042 5.9 8.4 3.0 15.4 10.9 18.1 43.5 -25.4 330.1 "27,643" 2043 5.8 8.5 3.1 16.1 10.9 18.1 44.3 -26.2 344.4 "28,175" 2044 5.8 8.7 3.1 16.8 10.9 18.1 45.2 -27.1 359.1 "28,716" 2045 5.8 8.8 3.1 17.5 10.9 18.1 46.0 -28.0 374.2 "29,266" 2046 5.8 8.9 3.1 18.2 10.9 18.1 46.9 -28.8 389.5 "29,825" 2047 5.8 9.1 3.2 18.9 10.9 18.1 47.9 -29.8 405.3 "30,393" 2048 5.8 9.2 3.2 19.7 10.9 18.1 48.8 -30.7 421.6 "30,956" 2049 5.7 9.3 3.2 20.5 10.9 18.1 49.6 -31.5 438.3 "31,522" 2050 5.7 9.5 3.2 21.3 10.9 18.1 50.6 -32.5 455.4 "32,097" 2051 5.7 9.6 3.3 22.2 10.9 18.1 51.6 -33.5 473.0 "32,681" 2052 5.7 9.7 3.3 23.0 10.9 18.1 52.6 -34.5 490.9 "33,274" 2053 5.7 9.9 3.3 23.9 10.9 18.1 53.6 -35.6 509.2 "33,877" 2054 5.7 10.0 3.3 24.8 10.9 18.1 54.7 -36.6 528.0 "34,490" 2055 5.8 10.1 3.3 25.7 10.9 18.1 55.8 -37.7 547.2 "35,112" 2056 5.8 10.3 3.4 26.6 10.9 18.1 57.0 -38.9 566.9 "35,746" 2057 5.8 10.4 3.4 27.6 10.9 18.1 58.1 -40.0 587.1 "36,389" 2058 5.8 10.6 3.4 28.6 10.9 18.1 59.2 -41.2 607.7 "37,044" 2059 5.8 10.7 3.4 29.6 10.9 18.1 60.4 -42.3 628.7 "37,709" 2060 5.8 10.9 3.4 30.6 10.9 18.1 61.6 -43.5 650.3 "38,386" 2061 5.9 11.0 3.4 31.7 10.9 18.1 62.8 -44.7 672.3 "39,074" 2062 5.9 11.2 3.4 32.7 10.9 18.1 64.1 -46.0 694.8 "39,774" 2063 5.9 11.4 3.5 33.8 10.9 18.1 65.5 -47.4 718.0 "40,487" 2064 5.9 11.5 3.5 35.0 10.9 18.1 66.7 -48.7 741.6 "41,212" 2065 5.9 11.7 3.5 36.1 10.9 18.1 68.1 -50.0 765.7 "41,949" 2066 5.9 11.9 3.5 37.3 10.9 18.1 69.4 -51.3 790.3 "42,700" 2067 5.9 12.0 3.5 38.5 10.9 18.1 70.8 -52.7 815.4 "43,464" 2068 5.9 12.2 3.5 39.7 10.9 18.1 72.2 -54.1 841.0 "44,241" 2069 6.0 12.4 3.6 41.0 10.9 18.1 73.8 -55.7 867.4 "45,033" 2070 6.0 12.5 3.6 42.2 10.9 18.1 75.2 -57.1 894.2 "45,839" 2071 6.0 12.7 3.6 43.5 10.9 18.1 76.7 -58.6 921.6 "46,659" 2072 6.0 12.9 3.6 44.9 10.9 18.1 78.2 -60.1 949.6 "47,494" 2073 6.0 13.1 3.6 46.2 10.9 18.1 79.8 -61.7 978.2 "48,345" 2074 6.0 13.2 3.6 47.6 10.9 18.1 81.3 -63.2 1007.2 "49,210" 2075 6.1 13.4 3.7 49.0 10.9 18.1 83.0 -65.0 1037.0 "50,091" 2076 6.1 13.6 3.7 50.5 10.9 18.1 84.7 -66.7 1067.5 "50,989" 2077 6.1 13.8 3.7 52.0 10.9 18.1 86.4 -68.3 1098.5 "51,902" 2078 6.1 13.9 3.7 53.5 10.9 18.1 88.1 -70.0 1130.1 "52,832" 2079 6.1 14.1 3.7 55.0 10.9 18.1 89.8 -71.7 1162.4 "53,779" 2080 6.2 14.3 3.7 56.6 10.9 18.1 91.6 -73.5 1195.3 "54,744" 2081 6.2 14.4 3.8 58.2 10.9 18.1 93.4 -75.4 1228.9 "55,726" 2082 6.2 14.6 3.8 59.8 10.9 18.1 95.3 -77.2 1263.1 "56,725" 2083 6.2 14.8 3.8 61.5 10.9 18.1 97.2 -79.1 1298.0 "57,744" 2084 6.2 15.0 3.8 63.2 10.9 18.1 99.1 -81.0 1333.6 "58,781" Source: GAO's January 2010 analysis based on CBO's projections for Social Security and Medicare.